Thailand: BOT seen delivering final 25 bps cut – UOB

In the evolving landscape of global economics, Thailand continues to draw attention for its distinctive economic trajectory. According to recent insights from UOB Global Economics & Markets Research, the Kingdom remains a notable low-growth, low-inflation outlier, setting it apart from many of its regional peers.

This unique position is particularly pertinent as UOB analysts anticipate a significant move from the Bank of Thailand (BOT). They are forecasting what could be the central bank’s final 25 basis points interest rate cut. Such a decision underscores the BOT’s ongoing efforts to stimulate an economy that, while stable, has not yet achieved robust growth.

Despite this current state, there’s a glimmer of optimism on the horizon. Authorities project a modest improvement in Thailand’s economic conditions for 2026 and 2027. However, in the immediate term, the economy is expected to largely maintain its characteristic low-growth, low-inflation profile.

For businesses, investors, and anyone tracking Southeast Asian markets, this anticipated rate cut from the BOT will be a key indicator of its strategy to navigate the current economic climate and pave the way for future stability and growth.

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